Week 4 NCAAF Longshot Bets & Betting Picks

Following a shocking loss in the hands of Wyoming at Week 1, the year Missouri rebounded into a 2-1 record to start. Missouri brings a home matchup from a sneaky 1-2 South Carolina team this week. After losses to North Carolina and Alabama, South Carolina input 4 as 9.5-point underdogs.
Despite the injury to their starting quarterback Jake Bentley, South Carolina has transferred an offense well as the ball. Through the air, they typical yards per game. New quarterback, Ryan Hilinski even diced Alabama up a week to 324 passing yards and two scores. The Gamecocks have also played nicely on the floor, averaging 131.5 rushing yards per game. Notably, Missouri fights to defend the conduct, letting 163.5 yards per game.
On the other side, South Carolina brings peripheral issues in their own, letting 370 passing yards per game (seventh-worst from the nation ). 444 yards came from Alabama. The Gamecocks held competitions under 245 yards. Kelly Bryant, Missouri’s quarterback, has started the year up-and-down, neglecting to eclipse 150 from West Virginia, although notching 423 passing yards against Wyoming.
Finally, South Carolina supplies an excessive amount of significance as 9.5-point underdogs this weekend.
Best Pick: South Carolina +9.5 (-110) with BetOnline
Saturday September 21st, 10:30 PM in Qualcomm Stadium (San Diego, California)
Greatest Pick: San Diego State ML (+145) with 5Dimes
In one of the more interesting matchups in the Week 4 slate, the 2-0 Utah State Aggies travel to confront the 3-0 San Diego State Aztecs. Playing with polar styles of crime, Utah State conducts a pass friendly plot, while San Diego State prefers to maintain the ball on the ground. Because it stands, San Diego State enters Week 4 because 3.5-point home underdogs.
Playing some of their best defense in college football, San Diego State has only permitted 99.5 pass yards per game, which ranks fourth in the country. The Aztecs allowed 31 yards per game, which also ranks fourth. Their front five remain the most inexperienced unit in the nation with 15 begins as a unit, Even though Utah State stays the crime to confront San Diego State. This creates major problems against a stout San Diego State front, averaging 4.5 sacks per game.
On the opposing side of the globe, San Diego runs the ball in among the highest prices at the NFL (41.25%). This produces a direct mismatch for the Utah State defense which has enabled 178 rushing yards per game to start the season (No. 83). Stony Brook put up rushing yards in Week 2 against Utah State.
Since 3.5-point underdogs this week, San Diego State gives a good value as an underdog with this slate. Given the ideal chances, along with a bet on the money line remains +145 in drama.
Best Pick: San Diego State ML (+145) with 5Dimes
Saturday September 21st, 3:30 PM at Doak Campbell Stadium (Tallahassee, Tennessee)
Best Choice: Louisville Cardinals +8
After a very near defeat to Notre Dame at Week 1, Louisville enters Week 4 winners of the last two. On the opposing side, Florida State stands at 1-2 before Saturday’s matchup against the Cardinals. As 8-point favorites within Louisville, Florida State stands at this time.
After a brutal 2018, Louisville seems to have turned into a corner for a program, the year 2-1 starting. Louisville matches well against a Florida State defense. Specifically, after averaging 234 rushing yards to start the 20, Louisville must look to exploit their run game. Unexpectedly, Florida State has allowed 170.7 rush yards a game, making a route for Louisville’s success. Notably, Florida State has enabled at least 31 points in all three games.
On the opposite side, Louisville’s defense has played marginally better, but only allowed 21 points. Through 3 games, Florida State averages 281 passing yards a game, but they gave up an average of 3 sacks per game this season. While Louisville brings their own defensive struggles, a weak offensive line makes a slight advantage in Louisville’s favor.
Entering as underdogs, Louisville looks like a calculated risk worth taking in Week 4.
Pick: Louisville Cardinals +8